Nolen v Newitt
By Stephen Moran TVN Friday, July 20, 2012 - 9:00 AM
Four city meetings to go. The premiership is tied between Luke Nolen and Craig Newitt after Newitt drew level on 68 city winners for the season at Sandown on Wednesday and it makes sense to have them on your side over the next 10 days..
The two jockeys are fired up to win the title irrespective of whether they might play it down a touch in public. That may be stating the obvious but, hey, there's nothing better than a little something to build or maintain desire and momentum as the season winds down in a July wintry enough to sap most people's enthusiasm. After all, you don't have to be very far off your game to turn winning into losing - as we Richmond supporters well know after last weekend.
You would be showing a profit if you backed every one of Newitt's and Nolen's metropolitan mounts over the last week. Mind you, that figure is obviously flattered by Newitt getting home on 30/1 chance Min River at Caulfield last week.
Newitt, interestingly, rides roughies in four of the first five races at Flemington on Saturday. None are hopeless. If the track stays no worse than the dead 4 range then the best of them could be Second King, which would be ironic given that he's trained by Mick Kent - arguably Nolen's biggest supporter outside the Peter Moody stable.
Newitt comes home with three obviously good hopes in Future Solution, Night War and He's a Steal. Future Solution, around $5.50 in early markets, appeals as the each-way best on the program.
Nolen's roughies don't look quite as appealing, on paper at least. But I've tipped him to win the last two races on Golden Archer and Dayita and this premiership battle looks likely to go right to the wire.
Golden Archer hasn't raced for 43 weeks but his record, when refined, is superb. He's had eight runs left-handed up to 1200 metres for six wins and the two defeats were placings behind the then-flying Sepoy. And it was around this time two years ago that Peter Moody successfully returned another gun young horse, Reward for Effort, after an even longer layoff.